Tuesday, August 7, 2007

Thomas Tamm, Libby: Equal Treatment?

A day after the FISA bill passes...

Excerpt from: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/20121795/site/newsweek/


Aug. 13, 2007 issue - The controversy over President Bush's warrantless surveillance program took another surprise turn last week when a team of FBI agents, armed with a classified search warrant, raided the suburban Washington home of a former Justice Department lawyer. The lawyer, Thomas M. Tamm, previously worked in Justice's Office of Intelligence Policy and Review (OIPR)—the supersecret unit that oversees surveillance of terrorist and espionage targets. The agents seized Tamm's desktop computer, two of his children's laptops and a cache of personal files. Tamm and his lawyer, Paul Kemp, declined any comment. So did the FBI. But two legal sources who asked not to be identified talking about an ongoing case told NEWSWEEK the raid was related to a Justice criminal probe into who leaked details of the warrantless eavesdropping program to the news media. The raid appears to be the first significant development in the probe since The New York Times reported in December 2005 that Bush had authorized the National Security Agency to eavesdrop on the international phone calls and e-mails of U.S. residents without court warrants. (At the time, Attorney General Alberto Gonzales said of the leak: "This is really hurting national security; this has really hurt our country.")


Gee, I wonder if he'll get the same treatment Libby did.

Laffer's Napkin, Reagan's Voodoo Economics Live On

And I thought Bush was an idiot for talking like it was a truism.

For background on whether lowering taxes can INCREASE revenue (aka Reaganomics, Supply Side Economics, Trickle Down Economics, Voodoo Economics) I highly recommend:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laffer_curve

Personally, I did a paper on the elasticity of Labor Supply and found it to be rather inelastic. This is all the more so because now most households are locked in to a two income earner situation. The fact that this is all the more so in 2007 than it was in 1980 makes any notion of Reaganomics at this point in history all the more absurd.

From:
http://matthewyglesias.theatlantic.com/archives/2007/08/laffer_press_roundup.php


Laffer Press Roundup
06 Aug 2007 11:38 am

Here's an interesting test case for the press. It seems that at yesterday's GOP debate, Rudy Giuliani derided the idea that higher taxes raise revenues as a "Democratic, liberal" assumption and put forward his alternative view that you generate revenue by lowering tax rates. This is a stunning confession of total ignorance of tax policy and economics by the GOP front runner. So how did the press cover it? Chris Cilizza at the Fix lives down to my expectations by totally ignoring the fact that Giuliani is incorrect:

"There is a liberal Democratic assumption that if you raise taxes, you raise more money," said Giuliani to huge applause from the crowd assembled at Drake University.

Michael Shear in The Washington Post's page A1 story also doesn't care about the merits of the issue:

"Former New York mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani sparked loud applause when he declared that "the knee-jerk liberal Democratic reaction -- raise taxes to get money -- very often is a very big mistake." And Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-Calif.) declared his disappointment in the Democratic push to end the war in Iraq."

Nor does Stephen Braun of The Los Angeles Times care at all whether or not GOP tax policy makes sense:

"Referring to last week's devastating bridge collapse in Minneapolis, the GOP rivals found common ground in insisting that increased private investment from cutting taxes would provide more money to repair the nation's failing infrastructure. And they teamed up in turning their aim at the Democratic Party's presidential field.
Mike Glover at the AP doesn't seem to mention the issue at all. "

Adam Nagourney at The New York Times, by contrast, doesn't go nearly as far as I'd like, but does way better than his colleagues at the major papers. Here he is on the NYT political blog:

"Mr. Giuliani proceeded to explain that when he was mayor of New York he had cut taxes, and that those tax cuts had produced revenues that allowed him to finance bridge reconstruction. (Actually, there’s a good argument that it was the stock market boom in New York that brought all that money into the city’s coffers, but we’ll let that pass for now)."

And here he is teamed up with Michael Cooper in the print edition:

"Mr. Giuliani said that as mayor of New York, he had increased revenues to pay for bridge and road repair by cutting taxes, thereby jolting the economy, and that he would do the same thing as president. The city’s treasury in that period was flush largely with revenues produced by the stock-market boom of the late 1990s."

It'd be nice to see reporters go further than Nagourney does here, but improvements at the margin deserve recognition and the Times is doing a much better job than the Post here.

Monday, August 6, 2007

The History of Nixon and the Future of Cheney

I liked where this video was going, but they could have used much more relevant Cheney clips.

Outsourcing Government Work

Ever since the Big Dig fatalities, I've been critical of the extent that government outsources work to contractors. Today's Washington Post has a relevant take:


Meanwhile, a much quieter revolution was brewing: The federal government outsourced more and more of its functions to private contractors, a shift driven partly by the free-market ideology of the Reagan era and partly by necessity. There were now too many tasks for agencies to do by themselves. As Paul C. Light of New York University has shown, the "federal government" we all know -- the superstructure of agencies and federal employees -- has shrunk while its actual size, including contract and grant employees and projects, is larger than ever.

Here's the rub: Outsourcing eliminates incentives to perform well and shields contractors from accountability.



From The Can't-Do Nation.

Link to Paul C. Light's work:
http://www.brookings.edu/gs/cps/light20030905.htm
and
http://brookings.nap.edu/books/0815752652/html/index.html

Unemployment in U.S. vs. Europe

Anytime someone tries to point out how wonderfully productive the US economy is compared with Europe, ostensibly because of less restrictive labor laws, and points to the ostensibly low US unemployment rate, remember to pull out the Labor Force Participation Rate (which corrects for the unemployment rate's not showing long term unemployed):
Current stats for US: http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet?data_tool=latest_numbers&series_id=LNS11300000
As of July 2007, the U.S. is at 66.1.

OECD stats for 1999






CountryLabor Force Participation Rate
Sweden 75.7
France 68.5
Finland73.7
U.K.76.0


I'll try to get more current OECD stats.

Friday, August 3, 2007

Truth About Tillman Murder

Eksow has a good post at the Huffington Post: Truth About Tillman Murder.

I'd like to thank Randi Rhodes for bringing this issue to my attention several months ago.

The Big Lie Machine

Disturbing point made by this blogger on DailyKos



In 2000 their man was a braggart and a bully while their opponent was a man who was almost universally recognized to be one of the most fundamentally honest and decent men in government. And so they impugned his character and ran of a platform of returning integrity to the office.

In 2004 their man was the same braggart, and a man who had dodged the draft. Their opponent was a bona fide war hero.

They impugned his masculinity and his courage.

This year, they don’t have their candidate yet (though they have decided who ours should be -- a point I will touch on later). But recent events suggest that they have decided on their strategy. Having created an environment of corruption and greed unmatched since the Harding administration, and having paralyzed government with obstructionism, and having utterly destroyed our nation’s standing in the world and having stretched our military to the breaking point, what could they possibly run on?

Clean, effective government and responsible foreign policy.

Think they won’t try it?

Think again.